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Red54
141814.6
219923.2
162927.9
Blue65
83631.6
29619.6
298813.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654302060801005465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.3
19.819.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.8
End11.3
blue by 3.7
836
#1
31.61.5
26.528.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.3
End5.9
Second
23.20.3
22.622.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End10.8
red by 10.2
13.01.5
9.511.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End6.4
Third
1418
#12
14.60.3
15.915.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End4.2
red by 5.0
2961
#14
9.62.4
7.29.6
Auto1.8
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsMissed