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Red33
554911.2
237715.3
650411.8
Blue48
188525.8
454120.9
191516.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226804060801001203348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#13
15.30.5
11.912.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 10.5
25.80.6
22.822.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End9.7
Second
11.80.4
5.45.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End3.7
blue by 9.0
4541
#2Sur
20.90.6
18.718.0
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End11.4
Third
5549
#11Sur
11.20.4
9.19.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End3.4
blue by 5.7
16.90.7
16.315.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned