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Red22
51458.9
555713.5
152310.4
Blue22
87534.9
547220.3
797.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203604060802222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#14
13.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End6.3
blue by 6.7
20.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End6.3
Second
1523
#21
10.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End3.4
red by 2.7
79
#55
7.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Third
5145
#47
8.9
Auto3.9
Teleop1.6
End3.5
red by 4.0
8753
#53
4.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed