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Red30
68506.9
67225.7
74416.4
Blue16
32427.4
58166.1
316410.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3018010405060703016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#12
16.40.2
12.512.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.3
End3.7
red by 5.6
3164
#24
10.70.2
5.55.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End4.4
Second
6850
#28
6.90.3
6.36.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 0.5
3242
#36
7.40.3
4.94.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Third
6722
#42
5.70.3
8.18.5
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
blue by 0.4
5816
#48
6.10.3
8.17.8
Auto3.3
Teleop0.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed