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Red82
238326.9
105614.4
5914.6
Blue6
52837.3
155710.9
67225.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5125010203040607080826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.92.5
21.624.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End6.0
red by 16.0
1557
#35
10.92.3
8.86.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.6
End3.8
Second
59
#17
14.62.5
10.913.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End4.6
red by 7.3
5283
#38
7.32.3
9.87.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Third
14.44.2
11.816.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End3.5
red by 8.7
6722
#42
5.72.3
8.56.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed