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Red64
316410.7
8615.9
23316.9
Blue10
69682.0
19027.4
24254.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37160102030506070806410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#44
16.93.6
12.315.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End4.1
red by 9.5
1902
#46
7.40.9
7.56.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Second
86
#10
15.93.6
10.313.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End8.5
red by 11.8
2425
#54
4.10.9
5.95.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.1
End0.3
Third
3164
#24
10.72.2
9.111.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End4.4
red by 8.7
6968
#56
2.00.9
4.53.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed