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Red65
547220.3
1630.3
8018.2
Blue45
87534.9
115618.0
362713.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4336102030405060706545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
30.32.4
16.018.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.8
End7.5
red by 12.3
1156
#31
18.01.1
15.016.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Second
20.31.4
17.418.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End6.3
red by 6.8
3627
#19
13.50.7
11.111.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End6.4
Third
801
#29
8.22.4
6.28.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.7
End3.1
red by 3.3
8753
#53
4.91.1
8.59.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned16%Hangar oddsEarned