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Red50
750019.9
40247.4
15928.4
Blue103
555713.5
365317.2
448138.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2561020408010050103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.92.4
16.118.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.8
End6.1
blue by 18.1
38.02.8
30.233.0
Auto13.0
Teleop19.4
End5.5
Second
1592
#22
8.41.4
4.15.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.0
blue by 8.7
3653
#30
17.24.7
15.220.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
4024
#40
7.42.4
8.110.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.3
End2.0
blue by 6.1
5557
#14
13.54.7
7.011.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned