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Red35
40136.8
393728.5
68506.9
Blue16
17977.7
8615.9
555713.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393001020506070803516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.5
16.315.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End8.0
red by 12.6
86
#10
15.91.5
11.810.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End8.5
Second
6850
#28
6.90.5
8.98.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 6.6
5557
#14
13.51.5
8.36.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End6.3
Third
4013
#37
6.80.5
10.09.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 0.8
1797
#49
7.71.5
9.47.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed