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Red16
547220.3
64739.8
32427.4
Blue11
19027.4
52837.3
16498.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412902060801001611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.4
18.917.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End6.3
red by 12.0
1649
#51
8.22.0
8.76.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Second
6473
#33
9.82.3
8.96.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.0
End5.7
red by 2.4
1902
#46
7.42.0
11.79.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Third
3242
#36
7.42.3
9.06.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End0.8
red by 0.1
5283
#38
7.32.0
8.76.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed