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Red51
418713.7
58168.9
8625.0
Blue71
299227.1
190214.4
105619.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34401020305060705171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#5
25.01.5
16.317.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End10.4
blue by 2.2
27.13.8
13.817.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End5.7
Second
4187
#20
13.72.0
9.211.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
blue by 5.7
19.42.8
15.518.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Third
5816
#22
8.91.5
7.28.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 5.5
1902
#12
14.42.8
7.510.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed