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Red44
255611.5
314010.3
884119.7
Blue61
349.3
303921.8
457620.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38393035455055604461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#15
19.70.7
18.419.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End2.8
blue by 2.1
21.82.7
12.615.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
2556
#26
11.50.9
10.011.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End3.2
blue by 8.8
4576
#10
20.32.7
12.815.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.5
Third
3140
#31
10.30.9
7.28.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.1
red by 1.0
34
#35
9.32.7
11.013.7
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed