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Red40
599712.9
541014.9
19126.9
Blue30
804422.8
873210.8
61459.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2821010405060704030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5410
#19
14.90.7
7.88.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End4.0
blue by 8.0
22.80.1
8.18.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
5997
#17
12.91.1
8.39.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 2.1
8732
#27
10.80.1
5.86.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End-0.5
Third
1912
#32
6.91.1
9.710.8
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 2.4
6145
#33
9.30.1
6.97.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed