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Red13
57226.0
618411.8
795.7
Blue21
87789.0
142126.6
527613.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223701030506070801321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6184
#25
11.81.0
7.46.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End3.6
blue by 14.9
26.61.3
15.314.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End12.2
Second
5722
#36
6.01.0
5.84.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 7.1
5276
#14
13.11.3
9.17.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End3.9
Third
79
#34
5.70.8
9.28.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End-1.5
blue by 3.2
8778
#18
9.01.3
8.26.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed