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Red41
418713.7
45615.5
433615.8
Blue59
38626.8
105619.4
58168.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32470204060801004159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#23
15.81.0
11.912.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End6.4
blue by 11.0
386
#2
26.81.1
22.023.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End5.8
Second
456
#21
15.51.0
12.213.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.0
blue by 3.9
19.41.1
14.415.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Third
4187
#20
13.71.0
8.29.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End4.3
red by 4.9
5816
#22
8.91.1
6.17.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed