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Red46
408716.5
45629.1
541014.9
Blue54
314010.3
672211.6
8625.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333354045504654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4087
#11
16.51.7
14.616.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 8.4
86
#5
25.01.4
17.819.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End10.4
Second
5410
#19
14.91.0
8.49.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End4.0
red by 3.3
6722
#16
11.61.4
4.86.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.7
Third
4562
#28
9.11.7
7.89.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.5
blue by 1.2
3140
#31
10.32.1
8.210.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned