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Red39
45615.5
527613.1
599712.9
Blue67
38626.8
401311.0
142126.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284801020406070803967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#21
15.51.1
11.913.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End1.0
blue by 11.4
386
#2
26.81.8
24.125.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End5.8
Second
5276
#14
13.11.1
7.88.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End3.9
blue by 13.6
26.62.7
14.016.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End12.2
Third
5997
#17
12.91.1
9.410.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 2.0
4013
#13
11.01.8
4.86.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsEarned