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Red40
743114.2
255611.5
433615.8
Blue46
647314.6
878810.5
190214.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353110204050604046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#23
15.80.8
11.912.7
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End6.4
red by 1.2
14.61.2
12.113.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End5.4
Second
7431
#24
14.20.5
9.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End3.8
blue by 0.1
1902
#12
14.41.2
10.211.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
2556
#26
11.50.8
11.011.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End3.2
red by 0.9
8788
#30
10.51.8
7.69.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned