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Red38
105619.4
541014.9
401311.0
Blue24
804422.8
45629.1
57226.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382701020506070803824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.2
18.318.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End4.0
blue by 3.4
22.80.3
10.610.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.0
Second
5410
#19
14.90.2
9.59.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.4
End4.0
red by 5.7
4562
#28
9.10.3
9.59.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.5
Third
4013
#13
11.00.2
6.66.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
red by 5.0
5722
#36
6.00.3
6.56.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed