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Red37
61459.3
142126.6
19126.9
Blue67
303921.8
190214.4
255611.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3944102030506070803767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.0
16.716.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End12.2
red by 4.8
21.82.5
17.119.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
6145
#33
9.30.0
8.88.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.3
blue by 5.0
1902
#12
14.41.5
11.412.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
1912
#32
6.90.0
11.811.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 4.5
2556
#26
11.52.5
11.814.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed