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Red52
884119.7
61459.3
647314.6
Blue63
408716.5
406514.9
105619.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44541020304050607080905263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#15
19.70.4
19.319.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End2.8
red by 0.3
19.40.6
18.919.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Second
14.60.4
14.314.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End5.4
blue by 1.9
4087
#11
16.50.7
16.216.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
6145
#33
9.30.4
8.99.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.0
End2.3
blue by 5.6
14.90.6
14.415.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned