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Red38
190214.4
58168.9
527613.1
Blue46
41797.1
599712.9
303921.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354610203040506070803846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#12
14.40.2
13.513.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End2.7
blue by 7.4
21.80.0
22.022.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
5276
#14
13.10.3
12.212.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End3.9
red by 0.1
5997
#17
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Third
5816
#22
8.90.2
8.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End2.7
red by 1.8
4179
#29
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed