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Red48
88177.7
547218.9
218314.9
Blue47
393215.9
10818.2
76527.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840102030506070804847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.1
17.818.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End6.6
red by 0.6
108
#10
18.21.0
16.117.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Second
14.91.2
11.812.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
blue by 1.0
15.91.0
14.215.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Third
8817
#26
7.71.2
6.07.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
7652
#19
7.21.0
6.67.6
Auto4.8
Teleop0.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned