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Red4
78334.7
74038.9
47073.4
Blue50
36278.9
17943.7
420625.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1446020406080100120450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7403
#24
8.91.5
8.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 34.8
179
#2
43.71.2
17.018.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.5
End13.8
Second
7833
#20
4.71.5
4.73.2
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 21.1
25.81.2
14.715.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
Third
4707
#31
3.41.5
4.53.1
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.9
End2.4
blue by 5.5
3627
#16
8.91.2
7.48.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed