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Red13
45927.6
74428.6
264111.0
Blue22
17445.7
218314.9
76527.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24270102040506070801322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#33
11.01.1
9.98.8
Auto4.9
Teleop2.3
End3.9
blue by 3.9
14.90.8
9.68.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End4.8
Second
7442
#15
8.61.1
4.33.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 1.4
7652
#19
7.20.8
7.46.6
Auto4.8
Teleop0.7
End1.7
Third
4592
#21
7.61.1
9.07.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.0
End0.3
red by 1.9
1744
#29
5.70.8
8.47.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed