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Red27
15237.8
10818.2
87545.9
Blue75
216834.5
78334.7
420625.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25450204060801002775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#10
18.20.3
13.012.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.1
blue by 16.2
34.53.9
20.824.7
Auto11.0
Teleop13.1
End10.4
Second
1523
#22
7.80.3
6.66.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End3.9
blue by 18.0
25.83.9
15.919.8
Auto7.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
Third
8754
#30
5.90.3
6.46.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.1
End2.1
red by 1.2
7833
#20
4.73.9
3.27.1
Auto1.5
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned