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Red12
54107.7
5911.5
584211.0
Blue9
36278.9
66867.4
47073.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242001030405060129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#14
11.51.2
8.97.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.6
End5.2
red by 2.6
3627
#16
8.91.2
8.67.4
Auto3.3
Teleop2.6
End2.9
Second
11.01.2
6.95.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.1
End3.4
red by 3.6
6686
#28
7.41.2
7.96.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.0
End2.8
Third
7.71.2
6.65.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.2
End3.0
red by 4.3
4707
#31
3.41.2
3.11.9
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed