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Red5
241510.5
30913.6
10025.6
Blue30
69258.5
174617.8
647113.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213706080530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#21
10.51.1
8.77.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 7.3
1746
#10
17.80.2
14.314.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End3.8
Second
1002
#24
5.61.1
8.47.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.6
End1.2
blue by 7.6
6471
#16
13.20.3
11.511.2
Auto5.5
Teleop4.0
End3.7
Third
3091
#18
3.61.1
4.93.8
Auto1.7
Teleop0.7
End1.2
blue by 4.9
6925
#22
8.50.2
6.86.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed