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Red59
747014.3
710413.8
126129.7
Blue52
168320.0
363520.1
753811.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4844203040607080905952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.71.0
22.823.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End8.1
red by 9.7
20.10.7
19.019.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.9
Second
14.31.0
8.69.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End7.9
blue by 5.7
20.00.7
16.216.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
7104
#12
13.81.0
13.014.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.6
End9.1
red by 2.7
7538
#23
11.10.7
6.77.4
Auto5.2
Teleop2.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsMissed