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Red62
83219.6
808016.8
35818.1
Blue62
634115.3
634027.2
808310.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445820801006262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#12
19.60.4
19.019.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End6.9
blue by 7.6
27.20.2
27.027.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End13.4
Second
16.80.4
16.216.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End9.8
red by 1.5
6341
#13
15.30.2
15.115.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End4.3
Third
3581
#28
8.10.4
7.68.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End2.4
blue by 2.7
8083
#17
10.80.2
10.610.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.7