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Red90
297431.9
418837.3
74515.1
Blue58
670527.4
450919.8
602310.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845820401001201409058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.3
37.738.0
Auto10.4
Teleop20.3
End6.6
red by 9.9
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
Second
31.90.3
32.332.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.3
red by 12.1
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
7451
#26
5.10.3
5.55.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End1.4
blue by 5.4
6023
#25
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End7.2