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Red3
38157.9
52936.3
17958.5
Blue10
68876.7
56513.7
131112.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1823010304050310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1795
#29
8.51.6
5.64.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.5
blue by 3.6
1311
#14
12.10.8
8.57.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Second
3815
#30
7.91.6
8.46.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 1.2
6887
#15
6.70.8
5.95.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Third
5293
#19
6.31.0
3.72.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End2.4
red by 2.6
5651
#31
3.70.8
6.96.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed