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Red38
297431.9
52194.1
87610.5
Blue16
164812.7
69055.0
886613.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34200103040506070803816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
20.020.6
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End4.3
red by 18.8
8866
#21
13.10.3
10.09.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End7.1
Second
5219
#34
4.10.9
10.211.0
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 8.6
1648
#11
12.70.3
7.67.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End7.8
Third
8761
#32
0.50.5
-0.10.4
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End-0.6
blue by 4.5
6905
#36DQ
5.00.3
2.72.4
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed