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Red64
81007.2
450919.8
83219.6
Blue42
670527.4
35818.1
590014.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303601020405060706442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.82.3
9.411.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 7.6
27.40.6
21.021.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
Second
832
#12
19.62.3
13.916.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End6.9
red by 5.1
5900
#20
14.50.6
8.89.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End5.6
Third
8100
#18
7.22.3
5.88.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.3
blue by 0.9
3581
#28
8.10.6
3.33.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned