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Red45
67129.7
418917.6
808016.8
Blue8
85772.2
17958.5
44596.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31120204050607080458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#10
17.61.2
9.510.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End7.4
red by 9.1
1795
#29
8.50.6
4.03.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.5
Second
16.81.2
12.513.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End9.8
red by 10.0
4459
#23
6.80.4
5.85.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
Third
6712
#24
9.71.2
4.45.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.2
End5.9
red by 7.5
8577
#38
2.20.4
4.03.6
Auto0.2
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned7%Hangar oddsMissed