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Red16
87610.5
808310.8
44596.8
Blue8
76765.5
68876.7
52194.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212701040506070168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8083
#17
10.80.5
12.111.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.7
red by 4.1
6887
#15
6.71.1
3.52.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Second
4459
#23
6.80.5
6.55.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
red by 1.3
7676
#37
5.51.9
12.110.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End2.0
Third
8761
#32
0.50.5
1.61.0
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End-0.6
blue by 3.6
5219
#34
4.11.9
9.37.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsMissed