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Red69
634027.2
670527.4
56513.7
Blue44
85772.2
533213.6
808016.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6223040801001206944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.8
24.425.2
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
red by 10.6
16.80.6
15.015.6
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End9.8
Second
27.20.8
24.625.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End13.4
red by 13.5
5332
#16
13.60.6
9.19.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.9
End5.7
Third
5651
#31
3.70.8
4.25.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
8577
#38
2.20.6
2.63.2
Auto0.2
Teleop0.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned