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Red16
56513.7
44596.8
886613.1
Blue46
88656.6
69055.0
670527.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274201020506070801646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8866
#21
13.10.8
14.613.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.4
End7.1
blue by 14.3
27.40.6
26.326.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.5
End12.2
Second
4459
#23
6.80.8
8.77.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.2
End1.8
red by 0.2
8865
#22
6.60.6
7.27.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.0
End3.9
Third
5651
#31
3.70.8
4.43.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
6905
#36
5.00.6
4.04.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.3
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed3%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned