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Red56
873635.7
88495.6
52936.3
Blue47
808016.8
590014.5
808310.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523702060801005647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.6
35.035.6
Auto10.1
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 18.9
16.80.7
14.214.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End9.8
Second
5293
#19
6.30.6
5.76.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End2.4
blue by 8.2
5900
#20
14.50.7
12.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End5.6
Third
8849
#35
5.60.6
6.16.7
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End1.0
blue by 5.2
8083
#17
10.80.7
10.210.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned