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Red115
177158.9
126133.5
808316.2
Blue63
418836.5
731511.5
691937.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10482406012014011563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.91.1
52.653.7
Auto16.7
Teleop37.1
End5.0
red by 21.7
37.21.1
32.030.9
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End8.1
Second
33.51.1
31.332.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.5
blue by 3.1
36.51.1
34.533.4
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Third
8083
#12
16.21.1
10.511.6
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End8.8
red by 4.7
7315
#30
11.51.1
13.312.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed