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Red116
174627.6
873639.9
334414.6
Blue123
682931.0
563221.8
297443.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71790204060100120140160116123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#17
39.93.2
38.541.7
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End3.2
blue by 3.6
43.43.3
32.535.9
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End3.8
Second
27.63.2
18.421.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End3.2
blue by 3.4
31.03.3
23.727.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.5
End6.2
Third
3344
#19
14.63.2
11.114.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.1
End3.9
blue by 7.2
5632
#15
21.83.3
16.920.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned