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Red71
83222.0
450925.5
131118.4
Blue35
69109.0
141430.0
67129.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594220801007135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
19.019.7
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End3.5
blue by 4.5
30.00.4
25.625.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.8
End8.2
Second
832
#14
22.00.7
19.620.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End7.4
red by 12.6
6712
#32
9.50.4
8.07.6
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End5.3
Third
1311
#25
18.40.7
14.415.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 9.4
6910
#23
9.00.4
7.77.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned