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Red84
126133.5
418836.5
873639.9
Blue88
297443.4
470115.5
74517.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1244901001502008488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#17
39.91.5
39.738.2
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End3.2
blue by 3.6
43.41.4
38.539.9
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End3.8
Second
36.51.5
34.733.2
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
red by 21.0
4701
#26
15.51.4
11.813.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Third
33.51.5
32.330.8
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.5
red by 25.8
7451
#31
7.71.4
5.06.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed