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Red43
67129.5
808316.2
731511.5
Blue48
334414.6
886615.8
808018.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365002060801004348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8083
#12
16.20.5
14.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End8.8
blue by 2.2
8080
#22
18.40.1
18.518.4
Auto5.7
Teleop3.5
End9.1
Second
7315
#30
11.50.5
12.212.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 4.3
8866
#20
15.80.1
11.011.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Third
6712
#32
9.50.5
9.29.7
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End5.3
blue by 5.1
3344
#19
14.60.1
15.415.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned