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Red72
131118.4
691937.2
692514.3
Blue59
363518.8
418918.9
670527.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617920401001201407259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.6
31.832.4
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End8.1
red by 9.6
6705
#11
27.60.8
29.128.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.5
End9.7
Second
1311
#25
18.40.6
16.216.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.2
blue by 0.5
4189
#16
18.90.8
21.120.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End6.7
Third
6925
#28
14.30.6
11.211.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End1.5
blue by 4.5
3635
#24
18.80.8
21.320.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned