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Red60
83222.0
563221.8
164815.2
Blue100
177158.9
634115.8
168325.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521032040608012014060100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#14
22.00.3
21.021.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.1
End7.4
blue by 36.8
58.90.1
52.752.8
Auto16.7
Teleop37.1
End5.0
Second
5632
#15
21.80.3
21.121.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End6.1
blue by 3.6
1683
#13
25.50.1
23.623.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End5.4
Third
1648
#18
15.20.3
13.113.4
Auto6.3
Teleop2.7
End6.3
blue by 0.6
6341
#21
15.80.1
14.114.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed