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Red61
141430.0
88498.3
174627.6
Blue80
634115.8
418836.5
670527.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638420401001206180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.0
28.428.4
Auto7.0
Teleop14.8
End8.2
blue by 6.6
36.50.0
34.034.0
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Second
27.60.0
28.228.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End3.2
red by 0.1
6705
#11
27.60.0
26.526.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.5
End9.7
Third
8849
#29
8.30.0
5.15.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 7.5
6341
#21
15.80.0
15.715.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed