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Red134
177158.9
67129.5
297443.4
Blue90
682931.0
873639.9
363518.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179140608010014016013490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.91.3
55.656.9
Auto16.7
Teleop37.1
End5.0
red by 19.0
8736
#17
39.90.1
39.539.6
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End3.2
Second
43.41.3
41.442.7
Auto10.7
Teleop28.9
End3.8
red by 12.4
31.00.1
29.129.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.5
End6.2
Third
6712
#32
9.51.3
9.310.6
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End5.3
blue by 9.3
3635
#24
18.80.1
19.819.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed70%Hangar oddsEarned