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Red68
168325.5
164815.2
873639.9
Blue75
886615.8
747016.3
418836.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9166204060801001201406875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#17
39.90.9
40.339.4
Auto12.6
Teleop24.1
End3.2
red by 3.3
36.50.7
35.035.7
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Second
1683
#13
25.50.9
26.425.5
Auto7.1
Teleop13.0
End5.4
red by 9.2
7470
#27
16.30.7
15.015.7
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End7.5
Third
1648
#18
15.20.9
15.314.4
Auto6.3
Teleop2.7
End6.3
blue by 0.5
8866
#20
15.80.7
15.115.8
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed