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Red64
634115.8
418918.9
682931.0
Blue46
470115.5
67129.5
126133.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70642040801001206446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.0
30.230.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.5
End6.2
blue by 2.4
33.51.0
33.632.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End6.5
Second
4189
#16
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End6.7
red by 3.3
4701
#26
15.51.0
16.515.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End4.1
Third
6341
#21
15.80.0
15.515.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End4.1
red by 6.3
6712
#32
9.51.0
10.49.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned63%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned